Recent flooding events in Spain have highlighted the need to develop real-time flood forecasts to estimate streamflows over the next few hours and days. Therefore, a meteorological forecast that provides possible precipitation for the upcoming hours combined with a hydrological model to simulate the rainfall-runoff processes in the basin and its flood response are needed. In this paper, a probabilistic flood forecasting tool is proposed for the Francol & iacute; river basin, located in Catalonia (Spain). For this purpose, the Real-time Interactive Basin Simulator (RIBS) distributed hydrological model was calibrated in this basin for a set of flood events. Then, a series of rainfall field forecasts based on the analog method have been used as input data in the hydrological model, obtaining a set of hydrographs for given flood events as output. Finally, a probabilistic forecast that supplies the probability distribution of the possible response flows of the Francol & iacute; river is provided for a set of episodes.
Recent flooding events in Spain have highlighted the need to develop real-time flood forecasts to estimate streamflows over the next few hours and days. Therefore, a meteorological forecast that provides possible precipitation for the upcoming hours combined with a hydrological model to simulate the rainfall-runoff processes in the basin and its flood response are needed. In this paper, a probabilistic flood forecasting tool is proposed for the Francol & iacute; river basin, located in Catalonia (Spain). For this purpose, the Real-time Interactive Basin Simulator (RIBS) distributed hydrological model was calibrated in this basin for a set of flood events. Then, a series of rainfall field forecasts based on the analog method have been used as input data in the hydrological model, obtaining a set of hydrographs for given flood events as output. Finally, a probabilistic forecast that supplies the probability distribution of the possible response flows of the Francol & iacute; river is provided for a set of episodes. Read More
Related posts:
Numerical simulation of pore water pressure evolution
beneath a raft foundation during a river flooding
Assessment of the impact of climate change on dam hydrological safety by using a stochastic rainfall generator
Stochastic Assessment of the Influence of Reservoir Operation in Hydrological Dam Safety through Risk Indexes
Site Characterization of the Palencia Cathedral (Spain): Origin of Recurrent Phreatic Floods in the Crypt of San Antolín
Hydrological Risk Analysis of Dams: The Influence of Initial Reservoir Level Conditions
Influence of Erodible Beds on Shallow Water Hydrodynamics during Flood Events